Manipulation Shield
every listed stock scored on 6 public-data signals — a base rate, not an accusation
- MARKET AVG SCORE
- 8 / 100across the whole Universe
- RED ZONE (≥60)
- 2 namesof 26 listed
- FLAGGED TURNOVER
- 4%of today's traded value flows through red-zone names
- ESCALATING
- 2 namesscore risen this month
Featured Investigation
DHAKAFIBRETextile · Cat Z · fictional listing · the highest score on the board
97 / 100HOW THE SCORE BUILDS — SIGNAL BY SIGNAL
- Negative EPS with price +52% in 30 days — junk-pump profile+35
- Sponsors reduced 2.4pp last quarter while price rose+25
- 22% of free float turning over daily — volume concentration+15
- Upper circuit 4 of last 6 sessions on thin float+15
- Z-category stock outperforming index — zombie rally pattern+10
- Price/volume shape 82% similar to a past enforcement case+8
Signals total 108. The score shown is held at 97 by the cap that keeps severe profiles on fictional listings.
CO-MOVEMENT · 20-SESSION RETURN CORRELATION
- PADMAAGROρ 0.61shield 97 · moving in the same windows
Correlation between two price series, and nothing more. Candidates are limited to listings that already carry a flagged score, so a clean company is never named here.
Watchboard
Every listed stock, most flagged first.
- DHAKAFIBRE Textile · Cat ZΔ +6797FICTIONAL LISTINGPATTERN STAGE · MARKUP
- ⚑ Negative EPS with price +52% in 30 days — junk-pump profile
- ⚑ Sponsors reduced 2.4pp last quarter while price rose
- ⚑ 22% of free float turning over daily — volume concentration
- ⚑ Upper circuit 4 of last 6 sessions on thin float
- ⚑ Z-category stock outperforming index — zombie rally pattern
- ⚑ Price/volume shape 82% similar to a past enforcement case
NEXT ▸ In the simulated study, this stage was followed by a final squeeze, then a median −34% within 40 sessions (n=17).
- PADMAAGRO Engineering · Cat ZΔ +6797FICTIONAL LISTINGPATTERN STAGE · MARKUP
- ⚑ Negative EPS with price +38% in 30 days — junk-pump profile
- ⚑ Sponsors reduced 1.6pp last quarter while price rose
- ⚑ 17% of free float turning over daily — volume concentration
- ⚑ Upper circuit 5 of last 6 sessions on thin float
- ⚑ Z-category stock outperforming index — zombie rally pattern
- ⚑ Price/volume shape 82% similar to a past enforcement case
NEXT ▸ In the simulated study, this stage was followed by a final squeeze, then a median −34% within 40 sessions (n=17).
- MEGHNAGOLD Food · Cat BΔ +015FICTIONAL LISTING
- ⚑ 19% of free float turning over daily — volume concentration
- ACMELAB Pharma · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- BATBC Food · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- BRACBANK Bank · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- BSRMLTD Engineering · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- BXPHARMA Pharma · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- CITYBANK Bank · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- EBL Bank · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- ENVOYTEX Textile · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- GP Telecom · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- GPHISPAT Engineering · Cat BΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- IDLC NBFI · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- ISLAMIBANK Bank · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- LANKABAFIN NBFI · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- MARICO Food · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- OLYMPIC Food · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- POWERGRID Fuel & Power · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- RENATA Pharma · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- ROBI Telecom · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- SQUARETEXT Textile · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- SQURPHARMA Pharma · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- SUMITPOWER Fuel & Power · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- TITASGAS Fuel & Power · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
- WALTONHIL Engineering · Cat AΔ +00
- ✓ Sponsor holding stable
- ✓ Volume within normal band
- ✓ No circuit events in 90 days
Does the Score Work?
What stocks in each score band did next.
- 0–29 · CLEAN+5.8%vs market +3.1%
71% matched or beat the market — a clean score is quietly informative, not merely the absence of bad news.
- 30–59 · WATCH+0.9%vs market +3.1%
52% lagged the market — a drag rather than a disaster, but one worth a reason before accepting it.
- 60+ · RED ZONE−18.4%vs market +3.1%
78% underperformed, with a median peak-to-trough of −31%.
Simulated over two years of the seeded tape — the score describes the pattern, not the people.
Escalations This Month
Whose risk score rose or fell most this month.
Rising
- DHAKAFIBRE+67→ 97Negative EPS with price +52% in 30 days — junk-pump profile
- PADMAAGRO+67→ 97Negative EPS with price +38% in 30 days — junk-pump profile
Cooling
Nothing is cooling — no score fell this month.
Momentum is the only scoring input that moves with time in this build, so a score change is the same profile re-scored against the momentum of a month ago.
Early Warning
Stocks starting to look like the pattern, before they score badly.
No listing scoring 40–59 currently meets two of the three preconditions — a quiet tape on the formation front.
In the simulated study, names meeting two or more preconditions crossed into the red zone within 12 sessions in 58% of cases.
Your Exposure
The risk scores of the stocks you follow.
Add a stock to your Watchlist or record a Holding, and its Shield exposure appears here.
If You Hold a Red-Zone Name
What the numbers suggest checking, step by step.
- 1 · Check the position's liquidity first: at 10% of daily volume, how many sessions would it take to exit the whole holding?
- 2 · Decide an exit level now, while the decision is calm, rather than during a fall.
- 3 · An alert set below the current price is how that decision gets kept.
- 4 · Sponsor sell filings have historically preceded the steepest part of the fall — the Event Study Lab shows by how much.
These are observations about what has followed similar patterns, not investment advice.
Case Files
What happened to stocks that scored this badly.
- Z-category textile · thin float−61% over three months
The score crossed 80 during a week of repeated upper circuits. Eleven consecutive down sessions followed the peak.
LESSON ▸ The score reached the red zone 22 sessions before the top — the signal was early rather than late.
- B-category food processor · sponsors exiting−54% over four months
The score peaked in the high 70s, and sponsor sell filings landed within two sessions of the high.
LESSON ▸ The filing marked the turn more precisely than the price did.
- Z-category agro · no earnings behind the rise−38%, with no recovery inside the window
The score reached the low 70s at the peak. A year later the price had regained none of the fall.
LESSON ▸ In these histories a distributed float did not re-rate simply because the price had fallen.
Simulated histories, deliberately unattributed. The pattern is what carries the lesson — no company, real or fictional, is named here.